Three reasons why the Cardinals have fallen this far, this fast
It's hard to boil it down, but here are three reasons the Cardinals have fallen so hard this year
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Fans of the St. Louis Cardinals abroad have to be feeling both disappointed and frustrated about how their team has struggled mightily this season. But it’s no wonder why the Cardinals have slipped so far. What is really astonishing is how fast they've slipped to the cellar of the weakest division in all of professional baseball.
Players haven't been performing up to par, the coaching staff has displayed lapses in being able to manage games in order for the team to succeed and the front office hasn't performed to the Cardinal standard in the past two seasons. I’m not necessarily ranking these from most to least but putting the blame squarely on these three factors equally.
Players Inability to Perform
Back in 2020, President of Baseball Operations John Mozeliak was at a crossroads with the team and its talent. He elected to go with players like Tyler O’Neill, Harrison Bader, Dylan Carlson, Paul DeJong, Dakota Hudson, and Alex Reyes among others, and decided against keeping players like Randy Arozarena, Adolis Garcia, Sandy Alcantara, Lane Thomas, and Edmundo Sosa.
As we now know the results now, Tyler O’Neill, when healthy, is a productive player but the truth is he can’t stay healthy. A two-time gold glove winner, O’Neill can mash the ball but still to this very day struggles with laying off the off-speed pitch. To date, O’Neill has played in just 29 games this season while being on the IL with back issues since May 5.
Bader was a crowd favorite because of his all-out style of player, especially defensively, but could not quite turn the corner at the plate and had problems staying on the field with St. Louis. He also had problems with the inability to lay off breaking balls. He was ultimately sent to the New York Yankees in exchange for Jordan Montgomery. To date, Bader has spent more days on the injured list than he has on the field with the Yankees.
DeJong has prospered in the field where he is arguably one of the best defenders at shortstop but had his worst season at the plate in 2022 where he hit a paltry .157 while spending more time at AAA Memphis than he did with St. Louis. So far in 2023, DeJong has produced 12 home runs and 27 RBI while hitting .240 in 200 ABs with the Cardinals.
Carlson has never lived up to expectations, leaving many to wonder if he ever will, much like past phenoms like Colby Rasmus and J.D. Drew. Carlson has dealt with numerous injuries since 2022 (hamstring strains, thumb sprain, ankle sprain) and, much like O’Neill, just can’t seem to round into form until another injury sets him back once again. Carlson has yet to show why the Cardinals drafted him in the first round of the 2016 MLB draft and was once at the top of the St. Louis Top 30 prospects list in 2020.
Pitchers Dakota Hudson and Alex Reyes have never panned out with the Cardinals choosing to allow Reyes to walk in free agency. While Hudson just never seemed to put a complete season together, the former #1 prospect in the St. Louis farm system Reyes couldn’t stay off the IL. Many in and around the organization thought Reyes had the type of stuff that comes along in a pitcher once every 50 years, the now former St. Louis pitcher just couldn't stay healthy. Now a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers organization, Reyes is back on the 60-day IL after having his second shoulder surgery.
Managerial and Coaching Blunders
I was one of those that didn't understand why Mike Shildt got the axe at the end of the 2021 season. I thought the St. Louis front office did him dirty. Shildt took a team that was way underperforming and sparked life in them, taking all of Cardinal Nation on a ride with them that saw the team win an organizational record of 17 games at the end of the 2021 season.
After the season, Shildt was thrown away like Tuesday’s garbage on the side of the street. Whether Shildt defied the Cardinal’s front office and strayed away from the “analytic-driven” hitting coach Jeff Albert or whether he just told his players to forget about getting any help from the front office and to go win the division, the team took off.
Since then, Oliver Marmol’s tenure has left many scratching their heads, leaving many to wonder if he will even be around by this season’s last regular season game. Marmol had zero managerial experience coming in, much like hitting coach Turner Ward, much like pitching coach Dusty Blake who has guided the pitching staff to the worst team ERA in the major leagues. While players have to perform, the coaching staff is the one that prepares the players to play, and on many occasions this season, the team has not looked like they are ready to play.
The entire pitching staff has been abysmal, to say the least with Adam Wainwright no doubt wondering if he should've hung up his cleats with Yadier Molina and Albert Pujols last year.
Marmol sure hasn't helped himself in the dugout though, leaving pitchers in for one too many batters along the same lines that ex-Cardinal manager Mike Matheny used to do.
Marmol also makes the same unseasoned mistakes of pitching relievers three and four days straight, or not inserting a pitcher in a game for five to eight days, often leaving them rusty and not able to find their control out of the mound. One would surely have to think there should've been a better option than hiring Marmol at the time, right? A certain skipper by the name of Bruce Bochy who has turned the Texas Rangers around in 2023 was available and would've been a better option than Marmol.
Front Office Trade Mistakes and the unwillingness to fix problem areas
This topic often leaves me angry and asking more questions than the aforementioned.
Why won’t the Cardinal’s front office pony up the money to spend on fixing problem areas, like starting pitching, when they knew all along it was going to be a problem coming into this season? And the other question is how in the world could they trade players like Randy Arozarena, Adolis Garcia, and Sandy Alcantara amongst others only to watch them turn into budding stars with other organizations?
I will give credit where credit is due. Mozeliak did a pretty good job of acquiring Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. Those two are the minority though when talking about recent trades Mozeliak has pulled off.
First, it was the trade for Marcell Ozuna where we gave up not one but two eventual aces on the mound in 2022 NL Cy Young award winner Sandy Alcantara and likely 2023 NL starting pitcher Zac Gallen. Those two young horses would look really good right now as our #1 and #2 starters.
Next, it was a trade that I believe will go down as one of the worst trades in St. Louis Cardinal history as Mozeliak swapped Randy Arozarena and Jose Martinez with the Tampa Bay Rays in exchange for Matthew Liberatore, catching prospect Edgardo Rodriguez, and a supplemental second-round draft pick (eventually, Tink Hence). Liberatore was our top-ranked pitching prospect but has not had the success St. Louis Cardinal fans were expecting. The book is still out on Hence but he does look to be a very good prospect but time will have to wait on him to see if he develops further.
All Arozarena has done is spark an organization that was hurting to put fans in the seats. He is a fan favorite and has done nothing but hit since being traded to Tampa. The Cardinals only saw him take 20 ABs with the organization, then saw Arozarena earn AL ROY honors the very next season as well as have one of the most impressive performances in the playoffs in recent memory. He was just elected to his first All-Star game where he will start and take part in the Home Run Derby.
Adolis Garcia is another case where St. Louis didn't let him play enough to see his true talent come alive. Garcia was traded to the Texas Rangers in December of 2021 for cash considerations. Yep, Mozeliak pretty much GAVE the Rangers an eventual two-time All-Star for pocket change.
Garcia leads the American League in RBIs with 71 and has hit a total of 80 home runs since joining Texas after only earning 17 plate appearances by the Cardinals.
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It really is no wonder why St. Louis as an organization is where it is sitting right now. I feel unless a substantial shakeup starts at the top of the front office that leads down to the manager and coaches, mediocrity is going to be the norm in and around St. Louis. I just don’t know how well fans will take to that kind of baseball being played in the Gateway City.
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