The two pitches that swept the Cardinals offseason acquisitions
For those of you who have a sinking feeling about the team's acquisitions, they are more purposeful than you may think.
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For the last few years, the St. Louis Cardinals have been behind the curve when it comes to keeping up with the rest of the league. They were behind when using sabermetrics, and they were late to the party when targeting pitchers who strike batters outs. Most recently, the Cardinals were slow to adjust to pitchers and organizations on a new pitch: the sweeper.
The St. Louis Cardinals acquired nine pitchers this offseason. Of those nine, three are penned into the rotation, and at least one will be in the bullpen. Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn, and Kyle Gibson will all be in the rotation, while at least Andrew Kittredge and possibly Nick Robertson and Riley O'Brien will be in the bullpen.
There are some similarities between the sub-categories of these pitchers; Kittredge, Robertson, Victor Santos, Ryan Fernandez, and Riley O'Brien all have connections to the Cardinals' newest front-office member: Chaim Bloom. Additionally, many of these players feature either a sweeper or a sinker as their primary or best offering.
Riley O'Brien, and Andrew Kittredge both use their sinkers as their primary pitches, and Sonny Gray Kyle Gibson, Nick Robertson, and Lance Lynn feature their sweepers as their go-to pitch. It is clear when evaluating the team's acquisitions this offseason that the sweeper and sinker were two pitches the Cardinals wanted to improve upon from last year.
In 2023, only four Cardinals pitchers threw a sweeper, and only Drew VerHagen threw it with any success. His 31.1% usage rate made it his most used pitch. VerHagen was eighth in all of baseball in run value on his sweeper, and batters hit a measly .128 against the pitch. VerHagen had a modest 35.8% K rate on this offering. The Cardinals missed their chance to resign VerHagen. Casey Lawrence, Jake Woodford, and Drew Rom also threw a sweeper to various degrees, but not one of those pitchers had a positive run value on the pitch.
The sinker was a much more common pitch for Cardinals hurlers in 2023; twelve different pitchers threw a sinker, and players like Steven Matz, Jake Woodford, John King, and Dakota Hudson used it as their primary pitch. For as common as the pitch was in St. Louis, it was just as ineffective when looking at run value. Steven Matz threw the pitch 56.1% of the time for a +8 run value, but his sinker was the only one with positive results on the staff. Batters hit only .240 against it, and Matz limited hard contact, as the average exit velocity against his sinker was only 89.6 MPH.
Adding pitchers who feature sweepers and sinkers seemed to be a focus for John Mozeliak this offseason. Let's take a look at the pitchers added who use sweepers and sinkers often.
Sweeper
A quick primer on the sweeper is probably necessary. A sweeper is similar to a traditional slider pitch. The primary difference is that a sweeper has almost double the horizontal movement of a slider while sacrificing some velocity. Shohei Ohtani's sweeper had nearly fifteen inches of horizontal break while his slider had only eight inches of horizontal break last year. His sweeper also ran 2-3 MPH slower than his slider.
Our very own Adam Wainwright broke down the pitch during a broadcast last year. I have also included a video of one of the best sweepers last year that was thrown by Mitch Keller as an example.
Adam Wainwright explaining a Sweeper and why it's different from a traditional Slider.
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 10, 2023
Thank you @UncleCharlie50 👏👏 pic.twitter.com/dxC0QKgr5o
Mitch Keller, RIDICULOUS 83mph Sweeper. 😳
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 11, 2023
24 inches (yes, 2 feet) of horizontal break. pic.twitter.com/wWsgIkpvwu
Of the various pitchers the Cardinals added this offseason, Sonny Gray, Kyle Gibson, Lance Lynn, and Nick Robertson all use a sweeper. While Lynn's isn't his primary pitch, he did add it this last year. According to run value on Baseball Savant, Sonny Gray's and Kyle Gibson's sweepers ranked first and third, respectively, in effectiveness in 2023 across Major League Baseball. Gray allowed a .097 batting average with a 53.2% K rate on the pitch; Gibson allowed batters to hit .147 against his sweeper with a 40.6% K rate. Sonny Gray's sweeper "swept" nearly fifteen inches horizontally and averaged 84.3 MPH; Gibson's had less break and velocity, but he was excellent at commanding it down and in against lefties and down and away against righties.
Nick Robertson's slider is dubbed as so on Baseball Savant, but its horizontal break (14.6 inches) and its velocity (83.3 MPH) lead me to think that this slider is more than likely an undiagnosed sweeper. Robertson's slider/sweeper was his best pitch last year.
Sonny Gray’s best pitch? Sweeper.
— Blake Newberry (@bt_newberry) December 9, 2023
Kyle Gibson’s best pitch? Sweeper.
Nick Robertson’s best pitch? Sweeper.
Lance Lynn’s newest pitch? Sweeper.
Could be a coincidence but the Cardinals sure are bringing in a lot of pitchers who throw sweepers. https://t.co/HO5dLOVZIF
Drew VerHagen had the eighth-best run value on his sweeper last year in baseball, and the Cardinals let him walk this offseason. Justin Lawrence of the Colorado Rockies had the second-best sweeper according to run value. He is rumored to be a trade candidate this offseason. Jordan Hicks also had a dominant sweeper, but he has since signed with the San Francisco Giants.
As an aside, Cardinals' reliever Andre Pallante, in addition to his "death ball", has added a sweeper in hopes of improving his effectiveness against right-handed batters. Hopefully, his sweeper replaces his slider, the worst pitch in his arsenal according to run value by Baseball Savant. Nineteen inches of horizontal break is ridiculous!
Big League sweeper pitch design with Cardinals reliever Andre Pallante.
— Tread Athletics (@TreadHQ) January 19, 2024
PC: @mattm1302
#TreadFam #MLB pic.twitter.com/537iJI88OJ
Sinker
The second pitch that appeared to be a focus for the Cardinals in their pitcher acquisitions this offseason was the sinker, a pitch primarily known for inducing groundballs. Sinkers aren't known as strikeout pitches, but they do have decent velocity typically with strong diagonal movement.
Andrew Kittredge and Riley O'Brien both feature a sinker, and both players will likely make the Opening Day roster as relievers. Andrew Kittredge used his sinker 48.4% of the time last year. It had a negative run value (-3), and batters had a .333 batting average against and .428 wOBA last year against his sinker. Historically, his sinker has been his best offering, including in 2021 when he made the All-Star team.
Riley O'Brien has recently revamped his sweeper. Blake Newberry discussed O'Brien's addition to the roster quite well in his piece at VivaElBirdos. O'Brien builds his arsenal around the effectiveness of his sinker. He allows soft contact off the pitch (86.4 MPH exit velocity), and his curveball plays well off of it.
The pitch sits 95 mph with over 15 inches of arm side run (15.3 inches) and does a fantastic job of keeping the ball on the ground with a whopping 66.7% ground ball rate this year.
For a team that has been behind the curve for half a decade on baseball trends both analytically and practically, the Cardinals jumping on pitchers who feature sweepers and sinkers is a big deal. Sonny Gray, in addition to bringing along his sweeper, is working to transform the way the Cardinals' pitching staff operates. In his interview at the Winter Warm-Up, Gray discussed these changes.
(Mozeliak) would say, "Can you tell me more about that?" So then he went down the pitching department and the people that were here. And I would say, "Well, what about this? Do you have a guy for this and this?" And he said, "No, tell me more about that."
The Cardinals are making big changes to their coaching staff and player personnel this offseason. Hopefully, the team can reap the benefits of these new pitchers who all seem to be connected based on a couple of pitches and a former President of Baseball Operations-turned special advisor, Chaim Bloom.
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