Ranking the 5 most disappointing Cardinals so far in 2024

The St.Louis Cardinals are at the 30% point in the regular season, there have been plenty of pros and plenty of cons, and things will have to improve if the Cardinals want to play in the postseason.

Looking at all the positives so far the biggest bright spot has been the pitching. After a miserable 2023 campaign for the Cardinals' pitching staff, they have seen a steady improvement in their staff headlined by the names added to the roster during the off-season. Andrew Kittredge has become a lockdown set-up man in the bullpen, Sonny Gray has been pitching like an ace, and they have gotten quality innings from Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson so far.

On the offensive side of things, there's not much positive to speak of, but Willson Contreras was off to a torrid start at the plate before his devastating wrist injury, and Masyn Winn is having a stellar first full season in the big leagues. Nolan Arenado has been hitting fairly well all season we just haven't seen the power numbers that we're accustomed to seeing, and Alec Burleson has bounced back from a frustrating 2023 hovering around .300 so far this year.

Sadly there has been a handful of players that have had a disappointing start to the 2024 season after coming into the year with high expectations. Even on very good teams, you are going to have some players that do not have the seasons that they expect but those down campaigns seem to be talked about more often when the team isn't winning games, and for the Cardinals that is the case.

There are quite a few players that have had disappointing seasons so far that did not crack my top 5 list. Brendan Donovan, Nolan Gorman, and Lars Nootbaar have had slow starts to the season but are expected to bounce back. Giovanny Gallegos has really struggled and is now on the injured list, and Brandon Crawford has been disappointing, but that was to be expected. The players on this list were expected to be key contributors to the Cardinals this season, but haven't been so far, and the concern regarding these guys is rising.

5. Dylan Carlson

It was heartbreaking to see on the second to last day of Spring Training when Dylan Carlson collided with Jordan Walker in the outfield and suffered a sprained AC joint putting him on the shelf to start the season. Carlson has since returned from that injury but has sadly not been hitting at all.

After Carlson was a finalist for Rookie of the Year in 2021 it has been a struggle for him at the plate. He hit 18 home runs in 2021, but he has only hit 13 total in the last 3 seasons combined, and his batting average, SLG, OPS, and OPS+ have gone down each year since his rookie campaign. And so have his games played, Carlson has only played 89 games since 2023, and injuries have played a huge role in his decline.

In 2024 specifically, it has only been 13 games and 29 at-bats, but he only has 3 hits ( .103 AVG) all of those hits are singles, and he currently has an OPS+ of minus 5. It may be an over-exaggeration since it is such a small sample size, but this has been boiling for Carlson, his numbers have been in a steady decline, and with Tommy Edman potentially close to coming back you could see him taking playing time away from Carlson in center field.

Also with Victor Scott II seeing some big league time early in the year due to Carlson's injury, he could be seen by the organization as the long-term option at center field. And with the disappointing trends in Carlson's numbers, it could make the Cardinals' decision much easier on who to play.

4. Andre Pallante

Pallante is only 25 years old but has already been relied on quite a bit in high-leverage situations out of the bullpen, but it has been a difficult couple of seasons in the big leagues since his rookie year. 2022 was an excellent year for Pallante both in the bullpen and in the rotation as he made 10 starts that year, he had a 3.17 ERA, and 123 ERA+, and was a ground ball machine.

2023 saw some challenges for Pallante, I wrote about this towards the end of last season. Pallante actually saw an increase in ground ball rate but he was giving up a lot of hits, likely due to the defensive shift ban that started last season, and batters hit over .300 against both his slider and his curveball.

We saw film of Pallante working on a " death pitch " during the off-season, which is basically a curveball that has more velocity and a downward bite. Baseball savant shows here that he has not thrown the " death pitch " all that much as he was relying on his fastball approximately 58% of the time, but his struggles with getting outs on breaking balls have continued as batters are 4 for 8 on his breaking pitches this year.

In 9 appearances with the big club, Pallante had a 6.30 ERA, his FIP, WHIP, H/9, and BB/9 are all the highest in his career, which led to a demotion to Memphis. With the Redbirds in Triple-A, 4 of his 3 appearances have been starts and he has a 2.20 ERA, but he has struggled with control, walking 13 batters in over 16 innings. Maybe starting is the answer for Pallante to find success in the big leagues again, but two straight seasons struggling in the big leagues is disappointing for a guy who has so much potential.

3. Zack Thompson

Zack Thompson's major league career has taken a very similar path to Pallante's. Just like Pallante, he had a great 2022 ( 2.08 ERA and 189 ERA+), but it has been a struggle ever since. After a rough start to the season last year, he was optioned to Memphis and was used as a starter which seemed to be the long-term plan for him, and he ended last season in the Cardinals rotation.

I thought Thompson pitched well enough last season down the stretch to earn a chance at cracking the rotation in 2024, and after Sonny Gray's injury in Spring Training, Thompson cracked the Opening Day rotation and started the second game of the season.

Sadly for Thompson, he got hit hard against the juggernaut Dodgers but what was most noticeable was that his velocity took a significant drop in that start. He only made one more start before he was put back in the bullpen. After giving up 24 hits and 18 runs in 17 innings, Thompson was sent to Memphis for the second consecutive season.

Like Pallante, Thompson is starting in Triple-A, and he has a 2.29 ERA so far in four starts. Both of these pitchers are young and have high ceilings, you hate to see how much they have struggled the last two seasons in the big leagues, especially after having very strong rookie campaigns. I just hope that the Cardinals can give these two guys a long-term plan for them, they need to decide whether or not they're starters or relievers and stop flip-flopping.

2. Paul Goldschmidt

What a difficult stretch at the plate it has been for Paul Goldschmidt, somebody who won the NL MVP just two seasons ago. The 36-year-old first basemen has been looking for his swing almost the entire season, as he has had stretches where he has looked completely lost at the plate.

Some may ask the question, should we have seen this coming? Goldschmidt's overall numbers in 2023 weren't terrible per se, but comparing them to his previous seasons it was one of the worst seasons of his career. In 2023 " Goldy " had career lows in SLG ( .447) after leading the entire league in SLG in 2022, and he is currently at a .303 SLG which would be the worst of his career by a wide margin. The worst batting average he has had in his career was .250 in 2011, he is hitting .211 so far in 2024, and he has also struck out in just under 32% of his ABs, almost 10% higher than his career K rate.

So can he turn it around? You would have to think that he deserves the benefit of the doubt since he is one of the best hitters of his generation and a former MVP, he can easily bounce back. Goldschmidt has also been known for having slow starts, including his MVP year, he hits better in the summer months. The weather in St.Louis is warming up, so maybe Goldschmidt will warm up too, the Cardinals will need him contributing in the middle of their lineup down the stretch.