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Cardinals: Evaluating "WAR" and its reflection of team success
National League East
Current Standings | fWAR Standings | bWAR Standings |
|---|---|---|
Braves (75-41) | Braves (14.8 fWAR) | Braves (39.4 bWAR) |
Phillies (65-53) | Phillies (10.8 fWAR) | Phillies (29.3 bWAR) |
Marlins (61-57) | Mets (10.1 fWAR) | Marlins (22.5 bWAR) |
Mets (52-65) | Marlins (9.6 fWAR) | Nationals (21.0 bWAR) |
Nationals (52-66) | Nationals (5.1 fWAR) | Mets (18.8 bWAR) |
The NL East shakes up similarly across the board. The Mets' tumble throughout the summer has placed them squarely in contention with the Nationals for the worst record in the division. The Braves' overwhelming success has put them in sole control of the division across the board. The Phillies' recent surge has placed them comfortably near the top in all three metrics.
What could be interesting would be the Marlins' pursuit of the Phillies. While it seems as though the Phillies are going steady, the Marlins' power pitching and deadline acquisitions could push them up further in the division and in WAR statistics and in turn the divisional/Wild Card standings.
The Mets get a slight boost in fWAR, but they find themselves at the bottom in the other two rankings. Meanwhile, the Nationals are bringing up the rear in 2 of the 3 metrics. The Phillies are a top-5 team in both pitching and non-pitching bWAR. The NL East has two powerful teams in the Braves and Phillies, one contender in the Marlins, and two non-factors in the Mets and Nationals.