5 most egregious called strikes against Cardinal batters since 2016
Angel Hernandez's recent blown calls made me wonder what the last five worst calls were against Cardinal batsmen.
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Umpires have a greater effect on the baseball game than fans may think, particularly home plate umpires. The average MLB game has around 300 pitches thrown, so the umpires behind the plate play a massive role in any given game. Some home plate umpires are placed in scorching conditions in the middle of the summer; some mistakes are understandable.
Umpires such as CB Bucknor, Laz Diaz, Phil Cuzzi, and Angel Hernandez, long-time veterans of their craft, are notorious for being terrible pitch callers. Angel Hernandez has received plenty of flak so far in the young 2024 season. All of the missed calls by umpires have made fans and critics of the game alike clamor for an automated strike system similar to what is used in the minor leagues.
Most recently, Hernandez missed 21 calls in a game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers. However, most of his fame this year came from three terrible calls against Texas Rangers rookie Wyatt Langford.
Umpire: Angel Hernandez
— Umpire Scorecards (@UmpScorecards) April 17, 2024
Final: Padres 6, Brewers 3#LetsGoPadres // #ThisIsMyCrew#SDvsMIL // #MILvsSD
More stats for this game 👇https://t.co/XBB21uncsG pic.twitter.com/qKodeEj7ko
All of these missed calls made me want to figure out which called strikes have gone against the St. Louis Cardinals in the most egregious ways. In order to find out this information, I went to Baseball Savant. Below is a thread I put out on X (formerly known as Twitter) that details the 5 most extreme called strikes since 2016.
In honor of Angel Hernandez missing so many calls this year, here's a thread of the five most egregious called strikes against the #STLCards since 2016 #ForTheLou
— Thomas Gauvain (@thomasgauvain) April 17, 2024
#5 Brent Suter to Harrison Bader 06/21/2018 pic.twitter.com/HWFuHjCX7G
The Cardinals have already been on the wrong side of many calls by umpires this year. While they haven't experienced the worst of home plate umpire calls, they have received a fair amount of calls going the other way. While umpires aren't the main reason the Cardinals are off to a relatively uninspiring start, they are a part of it.
For this exercise, I limited the scope to 2016, as that is when accurate pitch tracking became strongest.
Here are the 5 most egregious called strikes against the St. Louis Cardinals since 2016.
#5: LHP Brent Suter vs Harrison Bader 06/21/2018
Umpire: Mike Muchlinski
Count: 0-0
Pitch: 80.4 MPH Changeup
Distance from zone: 1.26 feet
Typically, umpires will miss same-handedness pitches that go away from hitters because the pitch will cross the zone at some point. Mike Muchlinski is set up in the middle of the plate, and you can see his head track the ball all the way through. Catcher Manny Pina receives the ball well and frames it back in quickly.
While it is atypical for left-handed pitchers to get outside calls go their way against right-handed batters, this isn't the case with Suter's changeup to Bader. It was a straight pitch that was never in the zone, and it was an estimated 1.26 feet out of the zone. At this point in the game, however, the Brewers had a 7-1 lead in the fifth inning; it's possible that Muchlinski just wanted to end the game a little quicker.
The at bat ended with Bader popping out to first base. The Cardinals ended up losing the game.
#4: RHP Anthony Swarzak vs Tommy Pham 08/01/2017
Umpire: Chad Whitson
Count: 0-0
Pitch: 85.3 MPH slider
Distance from zone: 1.27 feet
Tommy Pham appears twice on this list, and I didn't exactly peg him as an unlucky hitter. This 85 MPH slider came from a right-handed pitcher, so umpire Chad Whitson's missed call makes a little more sense than the previous blown call. However, this strike being called in this particular count really put Pham behind, and you can see it in his disgust after the call. On average, batting average goes from .344 on a 1-0 count to .324 on an 0-1 count.
There are two things that are interesting to me about this call: first, Whitson is set up on the inside of the plate, so of course he won't be able to accurately see an outside pitch, particularly one that sweeps away from the hitter. Also, Swarzak is set up on the glove side of the mound, thus placing him on the outside of the plate already.
Pham ended up striking out swinging later in the at-bat. This call came in the 8th inning with one man on in a 3-2 game where the Cardinals were trailing. It's just one called strike, but Pham's eventual strikeout could have changed the outcome of the game.
#3: RHP Zack Greinke vs Tommy Pham 04/07/2018
Umpire: Mike Winters
Count: 0-0
Pitch: 87.9 MPH fastball
Distance from zone: 1.27 feet
Tommy Pham makes another appearance on this list! This time, he sees a fastball from right-handed pitcher Zack Greinke. This is an early-season game against the Diamondbacks, and Pham enters in the first inning with one out in the game. The 88 MPH 4-seamer stays pretty flat, but given Greinke's handedness, it does cross the plate near the middle of its path.
Home plate umpire Mike Winters stands in the middle of the plate and tracks the pitch, but catcher Jeff Mathis sets his glove up outside. Greinke hits the target, and that plays in his favor. Pham's reaction to this pitch is much more mellow than his reaction to the previous pitch on this list. Greinke's fastball tracked at 1.27 feet out of the zone.
Pham ended up popping out to second baseman Chris Owings. No one was on base when Pham came up to bat.
#2: LHP Tony Watson vs Jedd Gyorko 06/25/2017
Umpire: Chad Whitson
Count: 0-0
Pitch: 87.2 MPH Changeup
Distance from zone: 1.29 feet
Chad Witson shows up again. To be honest, I wasn't familiar with him, but it is interesting to see his name twice against the Cardinals. Whitson is accurate 90% of the time with his strike calls, and he is consistent 91% of the time. Both figures are well below average for umpires. Right-handed hitting Jedd Gyorko was up against left-handed pitcher Tony Watson. The 87 MPH changeup ended up 1.29 feet outside of the zone.
Catcher Elias Diaz was set up on the outside corner to receive the pitch. Given Watson's handedness and the typical shape of changeups, this pitch was never in the zone. Umpire Tony Watson is set up way inside, practically behind the batter. This limits his view of the pitch. Gyorko's reaction was toned down but clearly frustrated.
The pitch came with a runner on third in an 0-0 count in the bottom of the 6th inning. The Cardinals trailed by just 1 run in the middle of the season. Gyorko's at-bat ended with him hitting a ground-rule double to right, so the strike call didn't have much of an effect on the game.
#1: LHP Wade Miley vs Edmundo Sosa 06/06/2021
Umpire: Scott Barry
Count: 1-2
Pitch: 83.1 MPH cutter
Distance from zone: 1.30 feet
This pitch is the most dramatic for a few reasons: first, it is the furthest from the strike zone at 1.30 feet, second, it resulted in a strikeout, and third, the pitch came from a left-handed pitcher to a right-handed batter. Home plate umpire Scott Barry made a terrible call, and Sosa could do nothing but walk away in disgust.
Reds' catcher Tucker Barnhart was one of the best framers of the time--9th-best according to Baseball Savant that year. He did a good job sweeping his glove into the zone after catching the cut fastball, but it's clear that the ball never crossed the plate.
Sosa's strikeout was the first out in a the second inning of a 5-0 drubbing by the Reds.
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