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3 prospects the Cardinals should consider trading this offseason
The Cardinals used this past deadline to try to revamp their farm system, but there are some prospects that could bring back resources that could help the Cardinals right now.
This could be the most important off-season the Cardinals have had in recent memory. With the top priority centering around the need for starting pitching, there are several ways they can fill that need, and one way is moving certain minor-league prospects that can bring back some value.
Depending on how aggressive the Cardinals plan to be, there should be some names that'll be considered "untouchable" in a trade for pitching. Names like Masyn Winn, Tink Hence, Victor Scott II, and reigning Texas League MVP Thomas Saggese will likely not be available for trade this off-season. Despite the Cardinals' farm system being seen by most as not one of the better ones in the league ( 22nd in the MLB Pipeline mid-season ranking), there are still some prospects that saw a rise in their development in 2023 that could be blocked from getting to the big leagues sooner.
There is a current logjam in the outfield that is preventing players like Juan Yepez from getting more at bats, or someone like Moises Gomez from getting to the big leagues altogether. But there are a few players in the Cardinals farm system that even if their play continues to improve in the minors, there is not currently a spot for them on the Major League roster. Along with the outfield logjam, there is also one at catcher with the prospects the Cardinals currently have, and they have a lot of options on who they could move, out of those options, I believe that Pedro Pages is the one the Cardinals should try to move.
Catcher Pedro Pages
Pages was drafted by the Cardinals in the 6th round back in the 2019 draft out of the University of Florida Atlantic. He has always been a solid defensive catcher with great skills at blocking and receiving. The offense has not been there for most of his career but it has made some strides in the last year or so, starting last season in the Arizona Fall League.
In 13 games last year, Arizona Fall League Pages hit .279 with one home run and 7 RBI in 43 ABs, that success carried over to the 2023 season with Springfield in Double-A. This season Pages hit .267 with a .362 on base which were both his highest since 2019, and he surpassed career highs in hits (113), doubles (23), home runs (16), and RBI (72), all in a career-high 117 games played. He also cut down on his strikeouts substantially as he had a 19.3% K rate this season, after having a 30.3% K rate last year.
So why would now be the right time to try to trade Pages? Looking at the catcher position Willson Contreras has 4 years left on his deal, Andrew Knizner is coming off the best offensive season of his career, and the top-catching prospect Ivan Herrera impressed in a brief time with the big club this year. There are also other catching prospects who are actually higher on the MLB.com top 30 prospect list for the Cardinals than Pages, Jimmy Crooks, and Leonardo Bernal, there may not be a route for Pages to get consistent time in the big leagues. And with Pages coming off a career year offensively, he may draw interest from other teams that could give him a better opportunity to get to the big leagues, because it doesn't seem likely with the Cardinals' current catching situation for Pages.
Second Basemen Nick Dunn
Dunn is similar to Pages in that he has been in the Cardinals minor league system for quite a while but broke out and had a big season in 2023. After being a 5th-round pick in 2018 out of Maryland he has spent most of his time in Double-A Springfield, but after having a strong start to the 2023 season, hitting .332 with a .420 on base in Springfield got him a promotion to Triple-A Memphis for the first time in his career.
His production did not slow down once he got to Memphis as he had a .302/.404/.385 slash line, with 2 home runs and 20 RBI in 51 games. His 9 total home runs this season were the most he's had in a season since his final season at the University of Maryland in 2018. One impressive stat for Dunn is that in each of the last two seasons, he has recorded more walks than strikeouts which is very rare in this day in age, he has drawn 136 walks to just 99 strikeouts since the start of the 2022 season. He has not provided much power but he's shown good bat-to-ball skills and a great batter's eye.
Nick Dunn did play 22 games at 3rd base with Memphis this year but he has spent the majority of his career at 2nd base. The Cardinals are expecting Brendan Donovan to be healthy for Opening Day 2024, and they also have Nolan Gorman and Tommy Edman currently as potential options to play second base as well. And with Dunn being older than most Cardinal prospects (will turn 27 in January), It's hard to depict what his role could be for the Cardinals in the future. If the Cardinals are sold on having Donovan and Gorman be key members to what they hope will be a turnaround season in 2024, Dunn's breakout season in the minor leagues could intrigue teams to acquire him, and he could help the Cardinals maybe make a trade for some pitching that they could use next year.
3. Chandler Redmond
Chandler Redmond is really a great story. After a 4 year career at Gardner-Webb University, the Cardinals took him in the 32nd round back in 2019, the MLB draft doesn't even go that far anymore, and he has had a successful minor league career so far.
He showed right away with Johnson City in Rookie Ball that he has some huge power, as he hit 12 home runs in just 54 games. Then in his second minor league season in 2021 with Peoria, he hit 13 long balls in 64 games which led to a quick promotion to Double-A Springfield. He has stayed in Springfield since that early promotion but he has put up big numbers while in Double-A.
In August of 2022, Redmond accomplished an extremely rare feat as he hit what is called the "home run cycle ". Redmond hit a solo home run, a 2 run home run, a 3 run home run, and a grand slam all in the same game. In 2023 he had a 3-homer game, a 485-foot home run, and on September 17th, he became Springfield's all-time RBI leader, passing Xavier Scruggs with 196 RBI with Springfield.
Despite his torrid run in Double-A, he has yet to get a promotion to Memphis. Redmond has made at least one start at 5 different positions during his minor league career, but most of his playing time has come at 1st base. Paul Goldschmidt is under contract for one more season and it is possible that the Cards could bring him back, Luken Baker got 86 at-bats with the big club while winning the International League MVP this year in the minor leagues, so he could be the choice to replace Goldschmidt at 1st base if the Cards decide to go that route.
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If the Cardinals wanted to go after pitching through the trade market, Redmond's combination of huge power and defensive versatility could interest teams in a potential deal. The fact that he has not seen a promotion in the past couple of seasons leads me to believe that the Cardinals may not see him in their future plans. However his attributes and potential could attract some teams this off-season.