Cardinal fans should panic because the team's top pitchers were roughed up badly.
John Mozeliak signed Sonny Gray to be the team's ace. He wasn't going to repeat last year's Cy Young-worthy performance, but the hope was that he would be even 90% of his 2023 self. That alone would be sufficient to lead the Cardinals' starting rotation to success this year.
By and large, Sonny Gray has been about as good as advertised. His strikeout rates are up from last year, his xERA is nearly identical, he's walking fewer batters, and his opposing BABIP is virtually the same as it was in 2023. The primary difference? Home runs. Gray had a 0.39 HR/9 rate last year, and it's up to 1.17 HR/9 this year. He allowed only eight home runs last year in 32 starts, and he's given up 17 this year in only 22 starts. He would cede three home runs on Tuesday night.
Erick Fedde, the team's newest starting pitcher via trade, was supposed to slot in right behind Sonny Gray as the team's number two pitcher. Fedde was having a career year with the Chicago White Sox prior to the trade deadline, but he hasn't been able to replicate that success with the Cardinals.
Fedde allowed four runs on six hits, and he walked two batters while striking out only two. He also allowed two home runs in his outing. The Cardinals' top two pitchers did not pitch as such this past series, and that hurt the team's chances to succeed on the road in Cincy. Had Gray and Fedde pitched closer to their expectations, this series could have gone much differently.