What are the St. Louis Cardinals postseason chances in mid-June? Here’s an early look via FanGraphs and WynnBet.
Through 61 games, the St. Louis Cardinals are 34-27 and lead the National League Central by 0.5 games.
The Milwaukee Brewers, meanwhile, trail by 0.5 games after going 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates are in third place (24-34) while the Chicago Cubs (23-36) and Cincinnati Reds (21-39) continue to fall out of contention. So what are the Cardinals’ playoff odds at this point of the season?
Entering June 13, the Cardinals have a 52.8 percent chance of making the postseason, according to FanGraphs, with the Brewers having a 72.8 percent chance. It gives the Cardinals the seventh best odds of making the playoffs, behind the Dodgers, Mets, Padres, Braves, Brewers and Giants. On WynnBet, the Cardinals are given 15/1 odds of winning the National League pennant.
That ranking feels about right and even then, it’s disappointing considering the talent on the Cardinals roster that is headlined by Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt and Tyler O’Neill on offense and Adam Wainwright and Miles Mikolas in the rotation. That isn’t including Jack Flaherty and Steven Matz, who are moving closer to returning off the Injured List, and an offense that should improve in the final 101 games.
It provides optimism that the Cardinals can slash those odds. There is also the trade deadline, where there are some people who believe that president of baseball operations John Mozeliak should acquire another starter and one, perhaps two, relief pitchers to further bolster the bullpen. Such acquisitions paid off last season and it could have the same impact, especially if he decides to go all-in this season since it’s Yadier Molina, Adam Wainwright and Albert Pujols’ final seasons.
Time will tell, of course, but the Cardinals have a very good chance of making the postseason. Their odds should continue to improve throughout the season. But their chances of winning the World Series as a final parting gift to their three Hall of Famers would seem to rest on what the front office does at the deadline.