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1B Tommy Edman
2022 Projection: BA: .266, OBP: .321, SLG: .406, OPS: .727, R: 82, H: 148, 2B: 31, 3B: 4, HR: 13, RBI: 58, SB: 20, CS: 4, BB: 38, SO: 103
Verdict: Buy
After breaking onto the scene with an incredible rookie year, Tommy Edman has come back down to earth a little bit over the last two seasons. His 2022 projects have him building off his 2021 season, including a 20 point increase in his OBP, which teams right for a guy who will be entering his fourth big league season.
1B Paul Goldschmidt
2022 Projection: BA: .271, OBP: .351, SLG: .464, OPS: .815, R: 83, H: 143, 2B: 28, 3B: 1, HR: 24, RBI: 78, SB: 7, CS: 1, BB: 64, SO: 132
Verdict: Sell
Baseball Reference seems to be projecting some regression for Paul Goldschmidt, but aside from another year of age, there seems to be no signs of him slowing down.
Since 2017, Goldschmidt has his over 30 HRs a year (outside of the pandemic shortened season), and has had only one full season in his career with an average below .286. In 2021, Goldschmidt finished with .294 average, 36 2Bs, 31 HRs, and 99 RBIs, all which are significantly higher than current projections. Could this be the year age catches up with him? Sure. But that seems to be more speculation than informed projection, so I am selling a lot of this take. Expect Goldschmidt to have another great year.