St. Louis Cardinals: Predicting the 26-man roster two months out

ST. LOUIS, MO - APRIL 5: The Budweiser clydesdales make their way around Busch Stadium prior to the St. Louis Cardinals home opening game against the San Diego Padres on April 5, 2019 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
ST. LOUIS, MO - APRIL 5: The Budweiser clydesdales make their way around Busch Stadium prior to the St. Louis Cardinals home opening game against the San Diego Padres on April 5, 2019 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
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JUPITER, FL – MARCH 14: Yadier Molina #4 of the St. Louis Cardinals in action against the New York Mets during a spring training baseball game at Roger Dean Stadium on March 14, 2019 in Jupiter, Florida. The game ended in 1-1 tie after nine innings of play. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
JUPITER, FL – MARCH 14: Yadier Molina #4 of the St. Louis Cardinals in action against the New York Mets during a spring training baseball game at Roger Dean Stadium on March 14, 2019 in Jupiter, Florida. The game ended in 1-1 tie after nine innings of play. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images) /

We are less than two months from the start of the St. Louis Cardinals’ 2020 season. Spring training games haven’t started yet, but how could the 26-man roster look?

It’s almost that time of the year again. Spring training is right around the corner and a short month later, we all will have our biggest source of unhappiness lovingly available to stress over every night. That’s right, we are less than 60 days away from the start of the St. Louis Cardinals’ 2020 season.

The offseason was one of the most boring offseasons in the past few years but it was filled with plenty of rumors which sadly haven’t paid off (yet). The smart ones among us expected an offseason like this, the bold thought it’d never happen, and the ones who love to ride the rollercoaster are crashing hard right now. Nolan Arenado may circle back into our dreams by mid-summer, but for now, it seems the trail has gone cold.

Some will say that John Mozeliak had a terrible offseason and bang the same old drum about how he’s the worst person in the world and he should’ve been gone a long time ago. Honestly, that’s a tired take and the situation is much more complex than just what Mo can control.

The man signing the checks (Bill DeWitt Jr.) set the payroll for 2020 at about the same as it was in 2019 and Mo was really creative in finding a way to shore up the rotation, clear some outfield depth, and replenish the top of the farm system. The boss gave Mo a playground to play in, and he rocked that playground.

As we look forward to spring training and beyond, a lot of roster decisions have to be made. However, from today’s look at the roster, who do I predict will be heading North from Jupiter when spring ends? This is not who I think should make the roster, but who I think the team will end up going with.

PHOENIX, ARIZONA – SEPTEMBER 23: Paul Goldschmidt #46 of the St. Louis Cardinals tips his helmet to the crowd prior to his first at bat against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 23, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. It was Goldschmidt’s first time back at Chase Field since being traded to St. Louis. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA – SEPTEMBER 23: Paul Goldschmidt #46 of the St. Louis Cardinals tips his helmet to the crowd prior to his first at bat against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on September 23, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. It was Goldschmidt’s first time back at Chase Field since being traded to St. Louis. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /

Starters

The starters on the infield are one of the easier groups to decide for the St. Louis Cardinals assuming there are no injuries.

Starting at third base, the Cardinals have made it clear that Matt Carpenter is going to get every opportunity to reclaim his spot at third. Paul DeJong should have no competitors at shortstop. Kolten Wong will look to build on his 2019 season at second base and Paul Goldschmidt will look to bounce back in his second season with his new club. Lastly, as always, Yadier Molina will be behind the plate.

Those guys are all pretty set and the odd name out is last year’s breakout player, Tommy Edman. While I would hope Edman gets to play at least four games a week, I wouldn’t see him as a starter on Opening Day in Cincinnati.

Bench infielders

This is where things begin to get interesting. There are a few locks here led by Edman and Matt Wieters. From there, I would expect that Yairo Munoz and Edmundo Sosa will battle for the other backup infield spot but there is a good argument that Sosa should beat out Munoz. Rangel Ravelo will likely get his shot to prove he belongs in the bigs out of spring training, but if he doesn’t pan out, I could see him being an early-season roster casualty.

With the five starters on the infield, then Sosa, Edman, Wieters, and Ravelo, these nine infielders will be a very productive group as there are a ton of bounce-back candidates all over the place.

PITTSBURGH, PA – SEPTEMBER 07: Harrison Bader #48 of the St. Louis Cardinals in action against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on September 7, 2019 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA – SEPTEMBER 07: Harrison Bader #48 of the St. Louis Cardinals in action against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on September 7, 2019 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) /

Starters

This is not going to be a long section, but it is a section that has some question marks. To begin, the Cardinals are going to have Dexter Fowler in right field. There’s no way around that, as they weren’t able to find any takers after the team was reportedly shopping the outfielder who will be 34 on Opening Day.

Predictably, it will be Harrison Bader in center for similar reasons. The Cardinals have committed to Bader and assuming he has even a mediocre spring, he is a lock to be out there. When we get to left field, that’s where things get interesting.

My heart screams Dylan Carlson, but I just don’t think it’ll actually happen out of spring training. Why? One, he’s not on the 40-man roster. Two, the Cardinals have committed to seeing what they have in the outfield and left field is there spot to see that. For this reason, I believe that the final two position player spots will go to Lane Thomas and Tyler O’Neill.

Both players are 1A and 1B on the depth chart at left field and should split the time pretty evenly in the beginning part of the season. What left field or even the entire outfield looks like in July could be drastically different, but for now, the four guys you should see out there on Opening Day are Fowler, Bader, O’Neill, and Thomas.

There’s an argument to be made for Justin Williams to make the team over Ravelo, and this could be a coin flip. Williams is on the 40-man and broke out at AAA last year (.856 OPS with eight homers in 160 at-bats) with a good amount of power from the left side. A lefty power bat is something the Cardinals had on their shopping list this winter and it wouldn’t surprise me if Williams snagged a spot with a good spring.

DENVER, CO – SEPTEMBER 11: Dakota Hudson #43 of the St. Louis Cardinals pitches during the game against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on September 11, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. The Rockies defeated the Cardinals 2-1. (Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images)
DENVER, CO – SEPTEMBER 11: Dakota Hudson #43 of the St. Louis Cardinals pitches during the game against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on September 11, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. The Rockies defeated the Cardinals 2-1. (Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images) /

Starters

Barring any injuries, the starting rotation has the chance to be top-five in the league once again in 2020. Led by the 24-year-old Jack Flaherty, Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson will look to improve on their consistency. Adam Wainwright is looking to show he can still pitch at age 38 and then the biggest wild card of all is Carlos Martinez.

If Martinez is healthy and strong, he can join Flaherty at the top of the rotation and be a 1B to Flaherty’s ace status. If he can’t stay healthy, another disappointing year could spell trouble for his longterm future with the club. Again, if healthy, this is a great five. If hurt, the rotation could be a weak point in 2020.

Bullpen

The bullpen is the place where the Cardinals have so many arms that some players are going to have to be disappointed when they break camp. With Jordan Hicks still injured, the Cardinals are going to have to figure out who is going to close between Giovanny Gallegos, John Gant, and Andrew Miller. Behind those three, newly acquired Kwang-Hyun Kim will be fun to see translate his skills to the MLB.

John Brebbia and his lion’s mane will be back as well. With these five names being more or less locks, that leaves a lot of names for only three more spots. Ryan Helsley has proven that he needs to be in the MLB and I think he will earn one of those spots. Alex Reyes is returning from injury and it may be time he finally produces regularly in the MLB. Tyler Webb was a very underrated arm last year who got much-undeserved hate.

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Daniel Ponce de Leon is 28 and should be in the MLB. Brett Cecil is returning from an injured year and could either make the team or be a guy to be cut. That list leaves out Austin Gomber, Genesis Cabrera, and Junior Fernandez as well who have all spent time in the MLB.

Of all those names, I would expect Webb, Reyes, and Helsley to get the final three spots although I wouldn’t be surprised to see Cecil take the spot of one of those guys.

So there it is. 13 position players, 13 pitchers, a lot of question marks and a lot of potential. Any further trades or signings could change this list too. This isn’t necessarily the roster I would choose, but based off of how the Cardinals have started the year for the past decade, this is my best guess for what the team will look like.

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Barring any number of combinations of injuries, all of these players could be switched in or out, but for now, I believe that the Cardinals will take a roster very similar to this into Great American Ballpark on Opening Day.

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