St. Louis Cardinals: Possible roster moves and lineup changes

ATLANTA, GA - MAY 6: Kolten Wong #16 of the St. Louis Cardinals is congratulated by Manager Mike Matheney #22 after scoring a first inning run against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on May 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA - MAY 6: Kolten Wong #16 of the St. Louis Cardinals is congratulated by Manager Mike Matheney #22 after scoring a first inning run against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on May 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
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ATLANTA, GA – MAY 6: Kolten Wong #16 of the St. Louis Cardinals is congratulated by Manager Mike Matheney #22 after scoring a first inning run against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on May 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA – MAY 6: Kolten Wong #16 of the St. Louis Cardinals is congratulated by Manager Mike Matheney #22 after scoring a first inning run against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on May 6, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images) /

With Dexter Fowler and Kolten Wong returning from the DL after the All-Star break, the St. Louis Cardinals’ front office has some difficult decisions to make in the coming weeks before the fast approaching trade deadline of July 31.

The St. Louis Cardinals are winners of seven out of their last ten games, which puts them 4.5 games back from the first place Milwaukee Brewers. A season of ups and downs has created many unknowns for the St. Louis Cardinals and their fans. Should they be buyers or sellers? Or should they stay put? What young guys should get the call? There are so many questions with so little answers.

This season is uncharted territory for St. Louis Cardinals fans. This year has many similarities to last year. Sloppy base-running, sub-par defense, untimely hitting… we all know the script!

Two straight seasons of mediocre baseball has created uncertainty for Cardinals Nation. The front office isn’t okay with a third place finish in the Central Division, and it’s showed by reshuffling the coaching staff and sending down Aledmys Diaz and Randal Grichuk.

Some fans would argue the front office should do more like dismiss hitting coach John Mabry or promote Carson Kelly. For the record, I think the front office has handled things well so far this season.

There are five games left before the All-Star break, and I predict the St. Louis Cardinals win three or four of them. This will likely still put them around three games back of the division lead.

However, this still creates uncertainty for where the Cardinals will stand in the trade market. Instead of focusing on trade options, here are some internal options that should happen regardless of how the St. Louis Cardinals perform before the trade deadline.

Proposed 25-man roster going forward

MIAMI, FL – MAY 10: Dexter Fowler
MIAMI, FL – MAY 10: Dexter Fowler /

With Fowler and Wong returning from the DL soon after the All-Star break, here’s what the corresponding roster moves should be:

  • Place Dexter Fowler and Kolten Wong on the active 25-man roster. No shocker there. Fowler has thrived in the two hole, and Wong is turning in one of his best seasons since his rookie year in 2014.
  • Send Alex Mejia back to the minors. He seems to be fine defensively, but not as good of a hitter as Kolten Wong or Paul DeJong.
  • Next, designate

    Greg Garcia

    for assignment. He would likely be picked up by

    ST. LOUIS, MO – APRIL 17: Greg Garcia
    ST. LOUIS, MO – APRIL 17: Greg Garcia /

    another team because he is a scrappy player that gets on base and can play anywhere in the infield, except first base.

    He’s the odd man out, and at twenty-seven, it makes more sense to keep DeJong, Luke Voit and even Randal Grichuk on the 25-man roster. Garcia is a fine player, who I’ve grown to appreciate, but I think other players add more value.

    With the 25-man roster now set, here are some shakeups and tactics that should happen in the future:

    • Let Paul DeJong thrive at shortstop. DeJong is the only applicable shortstop on the roster, unless you count Jedd Gyorko. I have no problems with this unless DeJong falters in the field or continues to strike out at a high rate while not taking many walks. This is why it might make more sense to keep Garcia on the major league squad. He would be the only viable backup option at shortstop.
    • Fowler and Pham should get the fair share of at-bats in the outfield. Although Folwer had a slow start and Pham started the year in AAA, they have been the most consistent outfielders all year. Stephen Piscotty‘s slugging percentage is barely above .400, Randall Grichuk lacks plate discipline and Jose Martinez… what’s the knock on Martinez? I can’t find a major one. Martinez is my third outfielder.
    • Utilize bullpen arms more. Brett Cecil seems to have returned to his normal self. Tyler Lyons is good against lefties. Matt Bowman can get out of a jam with his ground-ball inducing abilities. I understand the bullpen has struggled this year, but Matheny should trust them more.
      Instead of Lance Lynn serving up a 5th inning home run to Christian Yelich on July 4th, I would have liked to see Cecil or Lyons, especially with the All-Star break coming up. Sure, you don’t want to overuse your bullpen, but with Luke Weaver and Lyons in the bullpen for now, they can eat up innings.
      Matheny has his go-to options in the bullpen, but it’s time to put favorites aside and focus on winning games with the best match-ups available.

    Move Michael Wacha to the bullpen

    ST. LOUIS, MO – JUNE 26: Yadier Molina
    ST. LOUIS, MO – JUNE 26: Yadier Molina /

    This may be the roster move I prefer the most out of the suggestions I have stated. I am a big believer in moving Wacha to the bullpen, who is a classic two-pitch pitcher. Yes, after the 2013 season, he added a curve-ball, and in the 2014 he featured a cutter. Nonetheless, Wacha has mostly been a fastball, change-up pitcher, for good reason.

    Using Fangraphs’ Pitch Value metric, which measures how successful a pitch is with the average being zero. Wacha has only two above average pitches, a fastball and a change-up, which is the least bit surprising.

    • wFB: 14.3
    • wCH: 5.3
    • wCB: -0.5
    • wCT (cutter): -4.5

    On top of Wacha only having two effective pitches (which relief pitchers can get away with), he has been tremendously inconsistent in 2017. Still only 25-years-old, Wacha carries a 5-3 record with a 4.16 ERA on the season. In his last two starts (12 IP), Wacha has only surrendered one earned run while striking out 14. That’s the good Michael Wacha, but we’ve also seen him on the opposite end of things.

    Five times this season he has failed to reach the 5th inning. Command has somewhat been an issue compiling a 3.3 BB/9, which is career high. However, it has more to do with lacking the repertoire of pitches needed to be a successful Major League starting pitcher. First time through hitters are hitting .176 against Wacha. By the second and third times through, hitters are hitting .336 and .355, respectively.

    Inning by inning hitters can pick away at Wacha and uncover his game plan. He can’t get out of jams with a sweeping slider or a baffling curve. Instead he forces outs with his fastball and change-up. That is a tall task especially if hitters know those are his go-to pitches.

    ST. LOUIS, MO – MAY 19: Starting pitcher Michael Wacha
    ST. LOUIS, MO – MAY 19: Starting pitcher Michael Wacha /

    All signs point to Wacha being a more than effective reliever. His high-90s fastball and supreme change-up could easily improve the St. Louis Cardinals bullpen.

    Trevor Cahill did it with the Chicago Cubs in 2015. Most recently Archie Bradley shifted to the bullpen for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season, and has thrived.

    The Diamondbacks have had chances to move Bradley back to the starting rotation due to injuries, but they have elected to keep him in the ‘pen.

    It’s up to Wacha to signal that he is okay with the transition. He could become a bridge guy like Andrew Miller. He may not be as dominant, but offers the same idea: A guy who can throw two innings to get to the ninth inning.

    By moving Wacha to the bullpen, it would allow Luke Weaver to slot into the rotation and not stunt his growth. Another possible way to get Weaver into the rotation would be to trade Lance Lynn.

    Trade Lance Lynn

    ST. LOUIS, MO – JUNE 13: Lance Lynn
    ST. LOUIS, MO – JUNE 13: Lance Lynn /

    Lance Lynn, who St. Louis Cardinals’ fans first remember as a bullpen weapon during the 2011 World Series run, has established himself as a dependable starter. Since 2012, Lynn has won twelve or more games each year, and has amassed a 3.42 career ERA. Lynn, being a fastball dominant pitcher, has developed into a guy who always wants the ball.

    Like Wacha, Lynn has lacked a level of consistency so far this season. Lynn struggles to go deep into games and has been plagued by one bad inning this season. That being said, he’s a bulldog many contending teams could use.

    A free agent to be, Lynn is the top starting pitcher trade candidate for the St. Louis Cardinals. Veteran Adam Wainwright is going nowhere. Mike Leake and his contract are going nowhere. Carlos Martinez is the ace of the Cardinals, and Wacha is still a talented pitcher that hasn’t panned out yet.

    By trading Lynn to a team like the Colorado Rockies, New York Yankees or Houston Astros, who need starting pitching, it would create more flexibility for young pitchers in the St. Louis Cardinals organization. This could open the door for Mike Mayers, who seems to always get the short end of the stick. It could also allow John Gant, and his funky delivery, to return to the big league club.

    The St. Louis Cardinals will be reluctant to trade Lynn, let alone anyone, if they can reduce the gap in the National League Central. Even if the Cardinals do keep up their winning ways, it still might make sense to trade Lynn, who will have a high asking price when the off-season rolls around.

    Next: Surging Cardinals offense

    It has been an interesting season to say the least for the Redbirds. Let me hear your take on the changes I suggested in the comments below or on Twitter. Thanks for reading!

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