St. Louis Cardinals: Say No to Tampa Trade

Dr. Michael D. Miles

Jun 3, 2016; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi (23) delivers a pitch in the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

News was released on Saturday that the Tampa Bay Rays are considering selling starting pitchers but the St. Louis Cardinals would be wise to stay far away from a deal.

Fans through Cardinals Nation are stuck debating whether the St. Louis Cardinals should become sellers or buyers before the trade deadline. While a reasonable question when facing an NL-central race imaginably insurmountable and a wild card race of similar difficulty, it might be a wiser choice to stand pat.

That said, fans and writers alike have speculated that this year’s St. Louis Cardinals could use better starting pitching. At other times, the belief is that the Redbirds could stand to benefit from greater offense. At other times yet, the belief is that the Redbirds could benefit from better defense.

While all are true, the idea of stronger starting pitching bubbles to the top of the discussion especially in light of the news out of Tampa on Saturday. According to MLBTR, the Rays (33-47 on the season) are dangling the carrots of their starting pitchers into the market.

So, should the St. Louis Cardinals bite? Before looking at what could be gained, let’s first agree with MLBTR that Chris Archer is not to be included in this “offering.” That agreed, let’s take a look at the names remaining.

Drew Smyly, twenty-seven, currently owns a 5.33 ERA across 96.1 innings. This left-handed pitcher is a great strikeout pitcher and could join the likes of Jaime Garcia (3.84 ERA in 96 innings) in the St. Louis Cardinals rotation. Working against this thought, though, is Tyler Lyons (3.79 ERA in 35.2 innings) who could more easily (and less expensively) fill a slot.

Matt Moore, twenty-seven, currently owns a 4.67 ERA across 96.1 innings. This left-handed pitcher faces the same struggles landing with the St. Louis Cardinals as Smyly above. I just don’t see the value in considering this pitcher. In addition, the Texas Rangers are linked to have interest and would more likely land him before the Cardinals.

More from St Louis Cardinals Rumors

The pitcher of greatest interest is Jake Odorizzi. The St. Louis Cardinals have had interest in him in the past. Odorizz, twenty-six, currently owns a 3.91 ERA across 94.1 innings. This right-handed pitcher hails from the St. Louis area and coming to the Cardinals would put him near his family.

Working against a trade for Odorizzi would be his price. With the respectable ERA, Odorizzi will command a hefty tag and one couldn’t blame the Rays for asking a high price. Another thing working against him in regard to the St. Louis Cardinals is his similarity to Michael Wacha. Let’s compare their stats.

Odorizzi:

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	W	L	W-L%	ERA	G	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2016	26	TBR	AL	3	3	.500	3.91	17	94.1	84	42	41	15	31	90	1.219
5 Yrs	23	27	.460	3.80	85	468.2	425	203	198	57	148	440	1.223
162 Game Avg.	9	11	.460	3.80	35	191	173	83	81	23	60	179	1.223

TBR (4 yrs)	23	26	.469	3.78	83	461.1	417	199	194	56	144	436	1.216
KCR (1 yr)	0	1	.000	4.91	2	7.1	8	4	4	1	4	4	1.636

…and Wacha:

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	W	L	W-L%	ERA	G	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2016	24	STL	NL	4	7	.364	4.42	16	93.2	96	54	46	7	33	79	1.377
4 Yrs	30	21	.588	3.47	80	446.2	405	189	172	37	143	391	1.227
162 Game Avg.	13	9	.588	3.47	35	197	179	83	76	16	63	173	1.227

Notice the similarities? I could see this deal working or even being of interest if the St. Louis Cardinals were completely willing and ready to give up on Wacha. While I have been frustrated with him at times this season, I’m not at the point of agreeing to give up on him. Yet.

A final piece of warning to keep us away from diving into the Odorizzi pool: I feel that the St. Louis Cardinals would need to give a great deal of prospects to get the Tampa pitcher and likely need to give someone like Wacha in the deal. Special thanks to our staff writer Galen for this note.

So, in short, is Jake Odorizzi worth sending Michael Wacha and a handful of prospects? I just don’t see the St. Louis Cardinals making this move. I do believe, however, that Odorizzi would be a great Cardinal but I’m just not sure that now is the time.

Next: Cardinals All-Stars

To wrap up things, let me add that in light of the struggles facing the St. Louis Cardinals to reach October this season, I feel it is likely wiser for the organization to simply do nothing this year, save money, save players and look to the future.

Dr. Michael D. Miles

Michael joined Fansided and Redbirds Rants in 2016 and is beyond excited to write about his favorite sport and team organization: baseball and the St. Louis Cardinals (Memphis Redbirds)! Michael also works as an elementary math coach for Shelby County Schools in Memphis, TN where he started in January 2017. He holds a BFA in theatre performance from Arkansas State University (2002), a Master’s of Science in Education from Mercy College (2004), and a Doctor of Education in Leadership from Arkansas State University (2010). After years of performing as an actor in community theatres and regional theatres, Michael became a teacher in NYC teaching public school. A six-year teaching career lead to a five-year college administration career before he finally settled into gratifying work in the nonprofit sector. Having founded a nonprofit from the ground up and having assisted other nonprofits grow and expand, Michael longed for the opportunity to return to his love of education and teaching. Now, adding a co-editing gig with Redbirds Rants is an even greate